Short Writings
- Living with (Jagged) Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) (2026-03-11)
- Navigating the Token Abundance (2026-02-24)
- A Tuesday in the Year 2040 (2026-02-16)
- On Feeling Insufficient 😣 (2025-12-22)
- My Systems Prompt (2025-05-01)
- Understanding Need, Risk and Excitement (2024-09-16)
- Limits of Prediction (2024-08-11)
- Complexity, Intelligence and Anti-Fragility (2024-06-13)
- Sampling Reality (2024-05-20)
- Shareholder Value (2024-05-06)
- The problem with AI will not be IQ, it will be immortality (2024-04-07)
- Untangling Luck and Skill in Business (2024-03-27)
- Many small bets with outlier potential (2024-01-14)
- Let's start a VC fund and make money! (2024-01-02)
- Should you raise VC money? (2023-12-17)
- Building a world-class team (2023-09-19)
- Learning World Models for Robust AI (2023-07-27)
- Why I am excited about AI (2023-06-08)
- Anthropocentrism, Alignment, and Personalization (2023-04-25)
- Artificial Intelligence and Scaling Laws (2023-04-06)
- The Probability Of Near-Term AGI-Like Systems (2023-03-26)
- Breakthroughness and The Virtuous Cycle (2023-02-27)
- Building Extremely Valuable Companies (2023-01-09)
- Reflections on Life and Entrepreneurship (2023-01-04)
- Relationships and Uncommon Sense in a time of AI (2023-01-02)
- Extraordinary Success Requires Betting (2022-07-30)
- The State of Machine Learning in 2022 - Next steps? (2022-05-12)
- The State of Machine Learning in 2022 (2022-04-18)
- The energy to keep going (2022-04-09)
- Risk and reward when turning tech into business (2021-11-07)
- Learning to be an Optimist (2021-07-15)
- Management Under Uncertainty (2021-01-12)
- Commercial Ikigai (2020-06-20)
- Believe in something (2019-12-27)
- When will we have Autonomous Vehicles? (2019-10-18)
- Algorithms are Unable to Question Data (2018-01-17)
- The Importance of Annotated Data in NLP (2016-09-10)